Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 15.825414 17.932266 20.297672 23.166138 26.571938 30.513179 35.457916
2025-09-07 12.856452 15.490338 18.693681 22.931212 28.473054 35.594433 45.639558
2025-09-14 10.808902 13.529538 17.009570 21.880952 28.679206 38.076648 52.511274
2025-09-21 9.314469 11.995920 15.558978 20.768915 28.422117 39.646437 58.162890
2025-09-28 8.330011 10.991635 14.645989 20.197054 28.732573 41.944937 65.250724
2025-10-05 8.433559 11.469962 15.813973 22.742726 34.052490 52.872743 89.298698
2025-10-12 8.062982 11.216954 15.871527 23.579495 36.765378 60.024869 108.667028
2025-10-19 7.388319 10.444179 15.054791 22.899468 36.788723 62.381065 119.186476
2025-10-26 7.116430 10.251147 15.106253 23.639500 39.393809 70.037156 143.423072
2025-11-02 6.661361 9.731934 14.582443 23.321162 39.985681 73.812134 159.965910
2025-11-09 6.241168 9.233567 14.044965 22.909629 40.323526 77.104229 176.453162
2025-11-16 5.896247 8.829861 13.628310 22.664970 40.945684 81.130527 196.443719
2025-11-23 5.501487 8.331664 13.035169 22.076586 40.882418 83.839476 214.674102
2025-11-30 5.200047 7.968931 12.648803 21.844169 41.553534 88.512896 241.462546
2025-12-07 4.812967 7.434886 11.917238 20.857227 40.420071 88.423851 252.459701
2025-12-14 4.451940 6.923821 11.190808 19.810585 39.011517 87.349152 259.690369
2025-12-21 4.194292 6.576359 10.736641 19.272021 38.703310 89.194115 279.107298
2025-12-28 4.349464 6.959269 11.652774 21.667642 45.780568 113.879363 410.441609
2026-01-04 4.281555 6.938226 11.805164 22.454085 49.045998 128.450010 511.764080
2026-01-11 4.051111 6.607526 11.335385 21.814994 48.487213 130.522483 549.532523
2026-01-18 3.986425 6.577608 11.451630 22.510463 51.649430 146.313387 684.888468
2026-01-25 3.819271 6.346793 11.151088 22.211341 51.996781 152.213390 764.682715
2026-02-01 3.654440 6.111713 10.826603 21.824545 52.036582 157.031043 843.773180